UTSA
W-L: (38-20) PR = 97.1550Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 17- 4 214 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 13- 5 215 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 13- 1 217 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 10-12 220 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 12-10 221 H Dallas Baptist 10- 8 222 H Dallas Baptist 6- 3 224 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 2- 7 227 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 6- 5 228 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 16-10 301 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 11- 6 303 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 7-11 306 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 10-14 307 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 13- 0 308 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 4- 5 310 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 9- 8 311 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 5-10 313 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 11-15 314 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 8-11 315 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 15- 8 317 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 11- 4 320 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 4- 1 321 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 6- 2 322 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 18- 8 324 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 4- 6, 93.9) 3- 1 327 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 0- 3 328 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 6- 1 329 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 8- 7 331 A Incarnate Word SL ( 2- 4, 91.9) 11-13 402 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 2- 3 403 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 8- 0 404 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 13- 0 407 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 6- 4 410 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 11- 6 411 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 1- 7 411 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 7- 3 414 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 9-10 417 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 11- 5 418 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 8- 3 419 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 5- 7 424 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 7- 3 425 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 8- 2 426 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 7-12 428 H Incarnate Word SL ( 2- 4, 91.9) 22-10 502 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 13- 7 502 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 8- 1 503 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 6- 3 505 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 8-11 508 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 4- 6 509 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 9- 2 510 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 5-10 512 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 19- 4 514 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 6- 2 515 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 19- 1 516 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 11-23 522 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 4- 0 523 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 4- 2 524 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 0- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H South Dakota State 17- 4 13 7 ++ 5.82
214 H South Dakota State 13- 5 8 7 0.82
215 H South Dakota State 13- 1 12 7 ++ 4.82
217 A Little Rock 10-12 -2 3 -- -4.54
220 A North Carolina 12-10 2 -2 ++ 4.32
224 A Texas State 2- 7 -5 1 --- -6.46
227 H Ohio State 6- 5 1 3 -1.80
228 A Coastal Carolina 16-10 6 1 ++ 5.00
301 H Hawai'i 11- 6 5 4 0.82
303 H UC Santa Barbara 7-11 -4 2 -- -5.57
306 H Ole Miss 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.16
307 A New Mexico State 13- 0 13 4 +++ 9.40
308 A New Mexico State 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.60
310 A Texas Tech 9- 8 1 1 0.31
311 A Texas Tech 5-10 -5 1 -- -5.69
313 H UT Arlington 11-15 -4 4 --- -8.44
314 H UT Arlington 8-11 -3 4 --- -7.44
315 H UT Arlington 15- 8 7 4 + 2.56
317 H Minnesota 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.51
320 A Florida Atlantic 4- 1 3 3 0.27
321 H San Francisco 6- 2 4 7 - -2.84
322 A Florida Atlantic 18- 8 10 3 +++ 7.27
324 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 3- 1 2 4 -1.96
327 H East Carolina 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.09
328 H East Carolina 6- 1 5 1 + 3.91
329 H East Carolina 8- 7 1 1 -0.09
331 A Incarnate Word 11-13 -2 5 --- -6.56
402 A Rice 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.15
403 A Rice 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.85
404 A Rice 13- 0 13 2 +++ 10.85
407 H Xavier 6- 4 2 4 - -2.24
410 A Georgetown 11- 6 5 5 -0.36
411 H South Florida 1- 7 -6 3 --- -9.25
411 H South Florida 7- 3 4 3 0.75
414 A Baylor 9-10 -1 2 - -2.76
417 H Charlotte 11- 5 6 4 + 2.28
418 H Charlotte 8- 3 5 4 1.28
419 H Charlotte 5- 7 -2 4 -- -5.72
424 A Tulane 7- 3 4 2 1.93
425 A Tulane 8- 2 6 2 + 3.93
426 A Tulane 7-12 -5 2 --- -7.07
428 H Incarnate Word 22-10 12 6 +++ 6.09
502 H Wichita State 13- 7 6 3 + 2.75
502 H Wichita State 8- 1 7 3 + 3.75
503 H Wichita State 6- 3 3 3 -0.25
505 A Texas 8-11 -3 -3 -0.02
508 A Memphis 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.11
509 A Memphis 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.89
510 A Memphis 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.11
512 H Texas State 19- 4 15 3 +++ 11.19
514 A Coastal Carolina 6- 2 4 1 + 3.00
515 A Georgia Southern 19- 1 18 5 +++ 9.43
516 H UAB 11-23 -12 3 --- -14.95
522 H Memphis 4- 0 4 3 0.54
523 H East Carolina 4- 2 2 1 0.91
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Texas State 2- 7 -5 1 --- -6.46 313 H UT Arlington 11-15 -4 4 --- -8.44 314 H UT Arlington 8-11 -3 4 --- -7.44 331 A Incarnate Word 11-13 -2 5 --- -6.56 411 H South Florida 1- 7 -6 3 --- -9.25 426 A Tulane 7-12 -5 2 --- -7.07 510 A Memphis 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.11 516 H UAB 11-23 -12 3 --- -14.95 217 A Little Rock 10-12 -2 3 -- -4.54 303 H UC Santa Barbara 7-11 -4 2 -- -5.57 306 H Ole Miss 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.16 308 A New Mexico State 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.60 311 A Texas Tech 5-10 -5 1 -- -5.69 327 H East Carolina 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.09 419 H Charlotte 5- 7 -2 4 -- -5.72 508 A Memphis 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.11 321 H San Francisco 6- 2 4 7 - -2.84 402 A Rice 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.15 407 H Xavier 6- 4 2 4 - -2.24 414 A Baylor 9-10 -1 2 - -2.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A New Mexico State 13- 0 13 4 +++ 9.40 317 H Minnesota 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.51 322 A Florida Atlantic 18- 8 10 3 +++ 7.27 404 A Rice 13- 0 13 2 +++ 10.85 428 H Incarnate Word 22-10 12 6 +++ 6.09 512 H Texas State 19- 4 15 3 +++ 11.19 515 A Georgia Southern 19- 1 18 5 +++ 9.43 213 H South Dakota State 17- 4 13 7 ++ 5.82 215 H South Dakota State 13- 1 12 7 ++ 4.82 220 A North Carolina 12-10 2 -2 ++ 4.32 228 A Coastal Carolina 16-10 6 1 ++ 5.00 403 A Rice 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.85 509 A Memphis 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.89 315 H UT Arlington 15- 8 7 4 + 2.56 328 H East Carolina 6- 1 5 1 + 3.91 417 H Charlotte 11- 5 6 4 + 2.28 425 A Tulane 8- 2 6 2 + 3.93 502 H Wichita State 13- 7 6 3 + 2.75 502 H Wichita State 8- 1 7 3 + 3.75 514 A Coastal Carolina 6- 2 4 1 + 3.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 17- 4 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.52 8.78
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 13- 5 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.52 8.78
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 13- 1 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.52 8.78
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 10-12 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.52 -1.37
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 12-10 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.52 18.59
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 2- 7 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.52 -1.09
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 6- 5 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.52 13.31
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 16-10 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.52 15.17
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 11- 6 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.52 11.88
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 7-11 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.52 -1.11
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 10-14 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.52 -0.75
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 13- 0 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.52 12.48
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 4- 5 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.52 -1.64
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 9- 8 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.52 15.49
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 5-10 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.52 -0.89
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 11-15 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.52 -1.86
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 8-11 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.52 -1.86
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 15- 8 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.52 11.61
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 11- 4 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.52 15.69
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 4- 1 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.52 13.38
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 6- 2 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.52 9.13
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 18- 8 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.52 13.38
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 4- 6, 93.9) 3- 1 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.52 12.11
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 0- 3 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.52 -0.99
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 6- 1 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.52 15.07
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 8- 7 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.52 15.07
3 A Incarnate Word ( 2- 4, 91.9) 11-13 -7.98 10.45 0.68 0.52 -1.89
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 2- 3 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.52 -1.26
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 8- 0 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.52 13.98
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 13- 0 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.52 13.98
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 6- 4 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.52 11.82
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 11- 6 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.52 10.66
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 1- 7 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.52 -1.55
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 7- 3 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.52 12.84
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 9-10 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.52 -1.16
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 11- 5 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.52 12.36
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 8- 3 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.52 12.36
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 5- 7 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.52 -1.67
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 7- 3 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.52 14.06
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 8- 2 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.52 14.06
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 7-12 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.52 -1.24
3 H Incarnate Word ( 2- 4, 91.9) 22-10 -7.98 10.45 -0.68 0.52 10.09
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 13- 7 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.52 12.84
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 8- 1 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.52 12.84
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 6- 3 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.52 12.84
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 8-11 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.52 -0.06
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 4- 6 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.52 -1.25
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 9- 2 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.52 14.02
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 5-10 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.52 -1.25
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 19- 4 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.52 13.29
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 6- 2 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.52 15.17
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 19- 1 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.52 11.48
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 11-23 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.52 -1.47
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 4- 0 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.52 12.62
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 4- 2 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.52 15.07
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 0- 1 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.52 -0.99
------
439.68
|
winning pts = 465.0281 losing points = -25.3486
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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